According to the article, NYCB is trading at a ridiculously low valuation, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of around 2.9 and a price-to-book ratio of around 0.75. The author believes that NYCB’s stock could be undervalued by as much as 100% compared to its intrinsic value. So, based on these numbers, the author gives it a “Strong Buy” recommendation, although they do acknowledge that it’s a high-risk trade.
NYCB is a bank holding company with substantial assets, totaling $124 billion. It operates two subsidiaries, New York Community Bank and New York Commercial Bank, and is among the largest 25 banks in the U.S. The bank recently made news by acquiring undervalued assets from a failed competitor, Signature Bank, which seems to have further enhanced NYCB’s appeal.
The article dives into NYCB’s financials, highlighting some key points. In terms of profitability, the bank’s net interest margin, which measures the difference between interest income and interest expenses, showed significant improvement. Management expects further expansion in the margin, which is a positive sign. Additionally, the bank’s expenses are projected to decrease due to cost-saving measures related to the acquisition.
When it comes to NYCB’s credit profile, the majority of its loan portfolio consists of low-risk multi-family loans. The non-performing loans are at a very low level, and the bank’s loan loss reserves are deemed adequate for its loan portfolio. Moreover, NYCB’s capital position, although slightly below the benchmark, is considered manageable due to its low-risk loan portfolio and the potential for increased earnings from the acquisition.
The article also includes a valuation analysis using the residual earnings model, which suggests a base-case target price of around $20.94 per share for NYCB. This implies significant upside potential for investors.